Papers
on the Dynamics of Tourism in
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The Institute is carrying out studies on the dynamics of tourism in
Paper I is an analysis of tourism arrivals, earnings and nights spent amongst others. This paper is available on line but note that it has not been peer reviewed yet. Comments by readers are most welcomed. 13th of January 2000
Paper II is an attempt to
model European tourism arrivals to
Paper III completes Paper II by attempting to model tourism arrivals from
countries other than those in
Paper IV concerns itself with the average number of tourists present on the island at any one time and how this average changes over the years. Simple time series models are examined and extrapolated to 2010.
Paper V establishes a
correlation the number of tourists on the island at any one time and the total
number of bed places available in the hotel industry. Subsequently the number
of bed places that will be required for future increases in tourism arrivals
can be estimated. Furthermore it is possible to establish a link between
tourism arrivals and the linear extent of coastal lands occupied by the hotel
industry. In so doing it becomes possible to calculate the beach frontage that
the hotel industry will try to control for hotel development. Preliminary
calculations indicate that for each additional 100,000 tourism arrivals, an
additional 8 kilometres of beaches are required to
accommodate further hotel developments. Finally a phase diagram is proposed
that depicts the evolution of the tourism industry in
Last update: 25th of August 2003
Date on the Web: 13th of January 2000